Blogs 2017-07-10T13:14:27+00:00

Mapping Defensive Metrics

At a minimum, a description of a team's defensive performance should tell us how many shots are conceded, where they are conceded from, and how they are defended.  We already know quite a bit about first two aspects, but from a statistical point of view our knowledge of the third is still rather sketchy. [...]

By | May 9th, 2017|Categories: Football Analytics, On the Pitch, Recent Posts|0 Comments

Team Defensive Metrics

Up to now, football analytics has been a little lop-sided. One reason is that on-the-ball data has been readily available, but off-the-ball data has not, so the focus has been on attacking metrics, and defensive metrics have lagged behind. This balance will eventually be redressed by the adoption of tracking data, but this [...]

By | March 30th, 2017|Categories: Football Analytics, On the Pitch, Recent Posts|2 Comments

Football’s Causal Arrow

Correlation does not imply causation! Some football analysts seem to think this is the apotheosis of wisdom, but of course it's a truth that every statistician learns at his mother's knee.  In the field of football analytics however, it is a truth remarkably easy to forget. It's not just amateur statisticians and self-accredited data [...]

By | February 19th, 2017|Categories: Recent Posts, Thinking Allowed|3 Comments

The Best and Worst Managers in the Premier League (Probably)

Some people don't think football managers make much difference at all. The guys at Soccerbrain for instance are quite skeptical about the influence a manager has: Coaches don’t matter so long as they are competent, they have the dressing room with them, and they are pragmatic about the tactics they employ given [...]

By | November 16th, 2016|Categories: Off the Pitch, Thinking Allowed|0 Comments

Crossing: Lessons from Liverpool

MOST Premier League teams like to cross the ball into the box. It is an exciting and threatening move, and puts the opposition’s goal in danger. But how effective is it really?  Can a team make extensive use of crossing to develop an effective attack?  The Liverpool Experience Between November 2010 [...]

By | October 21st, 2016|Categories: Football Analytics, On the Pitch, Recent Posts|4 Comments